Northern Ireland requires more than 5,000 additional workers annually to sustain and grow its economy, according to a new report by Ulster University’s Economic Policy Centre. The study examines the skills that employers will need in the future and highlights potential workforce shortages.
For students like Anna Dukelow, who studies economics at Ulster University, understanding job market demands has been instrumental in selecting a field of study. The report outlines a high-growth scenario, predicting the creation of 8,000 new jobs per year over the next decade. However, it also warns of a critical shortage of 5,440 workers annually, which could hamper economic growth if not addressed. The study stresses the importance of tackling economic inactivity—individuals who are neither employed nor actively seeking work, including those with long-term health conditions—as well as increasing the supply of migrant labor.
The fastest-growing job sectors are expected to be in high-value industries such as data analytics, cybersecurity, and IT. These roles typically offer higher wages, greater productivity, and require advanced qualifications. Additionally, the healthcare sector is poised for substantial expansion, driven by government investments to alleviate pressure on the system. The report forecasts an increase of more than 4,000 care worker and home carer positions over the next ten years—the largest absolute growth of any occupation. Conversely, employment growth in retail is expected to remain stagnant due to the rise of automation and online shopping trends.
One of the key challenges highlighted in the report is the retention of Northern Irish students who move away to Great Britain or the Republic of Ireland and do not return. Ms. Dukelow noted that most of her school friends have left Northern Ireland. “I’m the only one who has stayed, and I’ve definitely questioned whether that was the right decision after hearing about their experiences,” she admitted. “Now that I’m completing my placement here and finishing my degree, I see myself staying. I’ve established roots and built connections, but I know others who are still considering moving away.”
Rachel Huddleston, a third-year economics student at Ulster University, emphasized the importance of career awareness when choosing a course of study. “Some people simply follow subjects they enjoy without considering job demand,” she told BBC News NI. “It’s about finding a balance between pursuing something you’re good at while also being aware of available opportunities.”
Economy Minister Caoimhe Archibald underscored the report’s findings, particularly regarding Northern Ireland’s ageing population. “The number of young people entering the workforce isn’t sufficient to meet growing job demands,” she explained. “The workforce shortage is anticipated at all skill levels. Given Brexit’s impact on EU recruitment, it is more important than ever to help individuals facing employment barriers access work and training. Upskilling those who are unemployed remains a priority, but we must also ensure workers receive continued support once they are in employment.”
With workforce challenges ahead, aligning education with job market demands will be crucial for Northern Ireland’s economic growth and sustainability.
